We share one goal: every young person with an opportunity to follow Jesus by 2033.
Thirty-plus organisations. Dozens of countries. One bold goal — and, until now, no shared way to tell whether young people are actually following Jesus. Each of us counts our own outputs, alone. This is a proposal to change that: one shared measure, owned by everyone, that lets the whole movement finally see the same picture.
This draws on the extensive work of the Next Gen Global Collab, in consultation with the involved organisations and their seconded researchers — Ulrich Lombard, Eido Research, and Dr. Matthew Niermann. It is offered as a starting point, not a finished plan.Clay to be moulded — not a vase to be baked.
One shared way to measure whether young people are following Jesus — crowdsourced across hundreds of organisations, so the whole movement reads the same scoreboard, together, on the road to 2033.
Referred to simply as the Index · short form NGJFI
The mission, the questions and the partnership are untouched. We've simply handed the measuring tape to everyone, instead of carrying it ourselves.
We're not centralising the research anymore.— the heart of the pivot
We're crowdsourcing it — and empowering everyone to own it.
Three outcomes, in order — each one valuable on its own, even if the next never happened.
A single, memorable, translatable instrument — the Index — that anyone can run to measure faith engagement and the discipleship journey.
Each organisation sees its own results instantly, benchmarked against region and globe. The Collab sees the shared intelligence.
We help organisations act on what they see — turning a number into changed strategy. The long game, and the deepest impact.
A clear-eyed look at the original 50-country study surfaced three walls that no amount of tweaking could move. As Matthew put it, we were adjusting the haircut budget when the rent was the problem.
The crowdsourced model removes all three at once: organisations gather their own data under their own consent models, so the cost, the legal load, and the Western-sampling bias all move off our central plate.
This isn't a new idea — it's a return to one of our own founding ideas. Stanford's Collective Impact framework names five conditions a coalition needs to move the needle together. We already have four. The one we kept reaching past is shared measurement.
The Index simply builds the missing leg. A shared measure never required the world's largest research programme — it required agreement on what we all measure, and a place for the crowdsourced data to come home to.
For this to be a proven pattern, it has to be a pattern. It is. Across business, academia and the faith sector, the same play recurs: define one shared measure, validate it, give it away, and let everyone benchmark against it.
Twelve questions, organised in a four-level hierarchy, used across 50+ industries — you run it and benchmark against a global database. Powers the annual State of the Global Workplace.
See Q12 →Harvard's Human Flourishing Program + Baylor + Gallup. Its Secure Flourishing Index measures six domains across 200,000 people in 22 countries. The very study we cite as too costly to copy — but its shared index is exactly the model.
See the GFS →A validated tool measuring how children experience God's love across six signs of hope — Compassion, Joy, Purpose, Resilience, Wisdom, Spirituality. Built with Harvard, Duke & UEL. Released 2025.
Announcement → Full report →And beyond these, the whole idea is everyday practice — the Net Promoter Score is a single number millions of organisations report and benchmark against. We learn the model, not the questions: where Q12 measures organisational growth, the Index measures gospel momentum across four tiers — have I encountered, responded, am I being shaped, does it spread?
An organisation signs up and gets the Index white-labelled as their own — their logo, their survey, their results to keep. Their data flows back to the Index. When a country reaches a critical mass of crowdsourced responses, benchmarking switches on for that country.
Still being finalised — presented here as the proposed shape, not a settled contract.
The budget doesn't change — the same ~$1M through 2033 that we've already taken to foundations. What changes is what it buys. The old plan would have spent the entire envelope on field research in a handful of countries and still come up short. The pivot fits comfortably inside $1M and funds the whole platform — the shared metric, the dashboard, distribution, and consulting — with room to scale as adoption grows.
These are realistic starting points, not a ceiling. Early years are lean because the crowdsourced model pushes data-gathering cost out to the partners; later years carry the dashboard build-out, translation, and the human layer.
| Phase | Focus | Indicative |
|---|---|---|
| 2026Build & baseline | Finalise the Index, dashboard v1, DFW + Buenos Aires pilots | $120K |
| 2027Prove the model | Activate key countries & Collab-engaged orgs; infrastructure backbone | $180K |
| 2028–29Scale | Many countries live; first flagship report; certified facilitators | $320K |
| 2030–31Trend lines | Multi-wave data; dashboard v2 & multilingual; consulting layer | $240K |
| 2032–33Standard | Embed as the shared metric; transition toward self-sustaining | $140K |
| Total through 2033 | The full seven-year horizon | ~$1.0M |
We keep both frameworks. The simplest way they relate: the 3 questions are what we measure; the 4 tiers are how deep it has gone. That makes them two axes of one grid — every question can be read at every tier.
| Exposure | Response | Formation | Multiplication | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Follow Jesuspersonal faith | heard of Jesus | believes | being shaped | helps others believe |
| Participate in missionoutward | aware of the call | convinced it's theirs | practising witness | mobilising others |
| World looks differentlived impact | sees faith should matter | believes it does | choices reshaped | changing their spheres |
The survey stays grouped by the three questions; each item is tagged with the tier it probes; and the dashboards report both lenses. See it live on the Survey and Org Dashboard tabs.
Move from a centralised global study to a crowdsourced shared Index + dashboard as the Collab's research direction.
Adopt the working project name — the Next Gen Jesus-Following Index (NGJFI) — as the banner this work moves under.
Bless the change-management sequence: brief Collab leaders first, then engage their research people for input — not full redesign.
The survey and dashboards on the next tabs are deliberately illustrative — built to make the idea concrete and stir the conversation. They are not the final instrument; the questions will be tightened by a panel of standardised-measurement researchers before anything is locked.
A young person's survey, the value an organisation gets back, and the intelligence the Collab stewards.
The complete instrument — grouped by the three questions, every item tagged by tier.
Open the survey →Per-question insight, year-on-year shifts, gaps to national, and focus areas for next season.
Open the dashboard →The crowdsourced picture — findings and visualisations across 11 regions.
Open the intelligence →Grouped by the three questions — every item tagged by tier, so you can see the discipleship journey running through each. Around 6 minutes. Built to translate cleanly across regions.
The three questions are what we measure. The four tiers are how deep it has gone. Every question can be read at every tier — and the cell where they meet is what each item is really probing.
| Question ↓ / Tier → | Exposurehave I encountered? | Responsehave I responded? | Formationam I being shaped? | Multiplicationdoes it spread? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Follow JesusPersonal faith | Heard of Jesus | Believes | Being shaped | Helps others believe |
| Participate in His missionOutward | Aware of the call | Convinced it's theirs | Practising witness | Mobilising others |
| Their world looks differentLived impact | Sees faith should matter | Believes it does | Choices reshaped | Changing their spheres |
So the survey reads top-to-bottom by the three questions — and every item is tagged with the tier it sits in. Both lenses, one instrument.
Each item below is grouped under one of the three questions and carries a tag for the tier it probes — the same four tiers as the grid above.
Their own results — by question and by tier — with year-on-year shifts, gaps to the national average, and a suggested focus for next season.
The 3 questions — what they're strong in.
The 4 tiers — how deep it has gone.
Your bar, with the national and global benchmarks marked.
Sunrise out-performs both benchmarks on encountering and believing — they reach young people and those young people respond. But the journey stalls at the top: only 21% are discipling someone else, 8 points below the national average. The gap isn't belief; it's reproduction.
Item-level detail — where the org sits against the national average, and what moved since last year.
| Item | Org | Nat'l | Gap | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 · Response Believes Jesus is God | 82 | 74 | +8 | ▲ +3 |
| Q1 · Response Bible as final authority | 61 | 66 | −5 | ▼ −4 |
| Q1 · Formation Becoming more like Jesus | 68 | 59 | +9 | ▲ +7 |
| Q2 · Formation Has someone discipling them | 44 | 41 | +3 | ▲ +5 |
| Q2 · Multiplication Shared faith in last 6 months | 29 | 38 | −9 | — 0 |
| Q2 · Multiplication Helping someone else grow | 21 | 29 | −8 | ▼ −2 |
| Q3 · Formation Faith shapes daily life | 64 | 57 | +7 | ▲ +6 |
| Q3 · Multiplication Gives to the poor & vulnerable | 47 | 49 | −2 | ▲ +2 |
Generated from the gaps above — a starting point for the conversation, not a prescription.
The number the Collab cares about most: the year-over-year change (Δ) against the baseline.
After focused work on discipleship, Sunrise's Index has climbed 7 points off baseline. The dashboard's job isn't to grade them — it's to show whether last season's effort actually moved the thing they were trying to move.
The crowdsourced picture — every organisation's contribution, rolled into one living view of the next generation. The kind of finding no scattered study could prove.
The headline finding: young believers are reached and respond — but the journey narrows sharply toward formation and, especially, multiplication.
Both frameworks at once — every domain (rows) read at every depth (columns). The drop-off is visible everywhere; following runs ahead of mission, which runs ahead of world-impact.
| Exposure | Response | Formation | Multiplication | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Follow Jesus | 92 | 70 | 50 | 34 |
| Participate in mission | 86 | 58 | 40 | 30 |
| World looks different | 86 | 52 | 36 | 26 |
Correlations the shared dataset makes visible — illustrative, to show the kind of claim the model can support once validated.
Top-quartile organisations vs bottom-quartile, on the tier everyone struggles with.
Multiplication rate by org quartile. Studying the top quartile is how we learn what actually drives reproduction.
Engaged ministry networks against a general public benchmark — the "plumb line" control sample.
The gap between the two is, in effect, the measurable difference ministry makes. (Public-panel sampling is a later, funded phase.)
Reproduction rises with age — younger believers need the most help taking the step from formed to multiplying.
Benchmarking switches on for a region once it reaches a critical mass. The Global South leads — exactly the picture a Western-anchored study would have missed.
| Region | Index | Responses | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa | 64 | 11,400 | ▲ +4 |
| Brazil | 62 | 4,300 | ▲ +5 |
| Latin America | 60 | 5,550 | ▲ +3 |
| Southeast Asia | 58 | 7,200 | ▲ +5 |
| South Pacific | 56 | 3,100 | — 0 |
| South Asia | 54 | 6,400 | ▲ +6 |
| North America | 53 | 8,900 | ▼ −1 |
| East Asia | 49 | 2,950 | ▲ +3 |
| Central Asia | 47 | 1,500 | — 0 |
| Europe | 46 | 10,600 | — 0 |
| Middle East & North Africa | 45 | 2,300 | ▲ +4 |
The same crowdsourced data, on the map. Switch tiers to watch the world shift — strong where the journey runs deep, sparse where it has barely begun.
A tile-grid view — each square is a nation, placed roughly by geography. Illustrative scores; benchmarking switches on per nation once it reaches a critical mass of responses.
A literal, interactive globe view of this picture — the "Globe Tracker" — is the natural v2, and exactly the kind of concrete asset foundations fund.